DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets Meetup (Mar 2025)

Wednesday, Mar 26

6:00pm – 9:00pm

ET

GMT

Hosted by Forecasting Meetup Network

David Glidden

Arlington, VASign in to see full location

This month’s meetup is sponsored by Manifold! This month's meetup will include light refreshments thanks to their support. Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market. Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more. Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about. Create an account at https://manifold.markets. Predict how many people will attend this month's meetup at https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-people-will-attend-a-forec-0ELQOsQug2. Manifold is once again hosting Manifest, the world's top forecasting conference, in Berkely, CA the weekend of June 6th! A limited number of early bird tickets are available. Manifold users, students, and volunteers are eligible for discounted rates. Learn more and purchase tickets at https://www.manifest.is/. — Update Mar 24: Stevie Miller (@zagrebbi) will be our guest speaker at this month's meetup. Stevie is a Statistics and Machine Learning undergrad at Carnegie Mellon, and an intern at Reason magazine. He formerly spent a year working for Curtis Yarvin as editor of his blog, Gray Mirror. He worked under Philip Tetlock as a superforecaster in the Hybrid Forecasting Persuasion Tournament, and briefly at Works In Progress magazine. His research interests include prediction markets, cultural evolution, and the incentives that shape political discourse. — Join us for our monthly DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup, a very casual meetup to meet and socialize with others interested in forecasting, prediction markets, political gambling, sports betting, or anything else relating to predicting the future. We’ll have a private space at Rocklands BBQ, (https://maps.app.goo.gl/18mrJnSBFwaUpgA96), just a few blocks from the Virginia Square-GMU orange/silver line metro station (the Arlington location, NOT the Wisconsin Ave location!). Thanks to this month's sponsor Manifold (https://manifold.markets), some light refreshments will be provided free of charge, with additional food and beverage available for purchase. Last-minute/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Partiful event page are welcomed! Who are we? We are prediction market traders on Manifold (and other prediction markets like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket), forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander’s Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, rationalists, and data scientists. Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend meetups this year: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-attendees-will-there-be-at?play=true This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv