Oct ‘24 DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets Meetup

UPDATE Mon 10/28: This month's meetup is now graciously sponsored by Manifold, the largest social prediction market. Trade politics, tech, AI, and more. Earn cash prizes. Play money, not crypto. Start trading today at https://manifold.markets/. Use code SLWPD when you register and purchase $20 of mana to get a gift of $10 of mana and sweepcash. -- UPDATE Tue 10/27: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling) will be joining us as a guest speaker for this event. He is an Assistant Professor of Social Anthropology at the University of Birmingham. His work on gambling, economy and politics are ethnographically grounded in Papua New Guinea and, latterly, in the UK and US. He is the author of “Money Games: Gambling in a Papua New Guinea Town”. -- Join us for a pre-election DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup! Consider it our way of pregaming the general election, a very casual meetup to meet and socialize with others interested in forecasting, prediction markets, political gambling, sports betting, or anything else relating to predicting the future. We've booked the private dining room at Fire Works Pizza, 2350 Clarendon Blvd, Arlington, VA 22201 (https://maps.app.goo.gl/kfPARAWkmmLikno48) from 6-9pm to facilitate good conversation. Look for a table placard with the title of the meetup. A pizza, salad, and dessert buffet will be provided (vegan and vegetarian options available) as well as beer, wine, and soft drinks until 8pm. A cash bar will be available starting at 8pm for additional drink purchases. A huge thanks to Manifold for sponsoring this event. Last-minute/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Partiful event page are welcomed! Who are we? We are prediction market traders on Manifold (and other prediction markets like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket), forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander’s Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, and rationalists. Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend this month: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-people-will-attend-a-forec-wc0ue8lnd7?r=ZGdsaWQ This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv